Huang Biao brought 400 billion yuan to the auto market

In 2013, China’s vehicle ownership exceeded 137 million vehicles, which is a 15.87% compound growth rate compared to the 57.97 million vehicles in 2007. In the developed countries, the average scrap rate (rejection/retention) of automobiles is 6%. Considering that China is in a period of rapid growth in automobile consumption, the current auto scrap rate is not up to this level, but according to the 2013 “Compulsory Vehicle Mandatory Scraping Standards Regulations”, passengers and trucks are generally used for 10 years. In the past 15 years, the cars that began to be used around the year 2000 have already entered the scrapping period. Based on this, it is estimated that the scrapped cars in China will be about 2 million vehicles in 2013 and will increase at an average annual rate of 20% in the next decade.

In June 2001, the State Council issued the "Administrative Measures for the Retirement of Automobiles for Retirement". This is the first time that China has systematically standardized the policies for the development of the automobile recycling and dismantling industry. It has clearly stipulated that after a car meets the scrapping standards, it must go to the public security department to write off the vehicle information. , and handed over to companies with relevant qualifications for recycling. The automobile dismantling industry has formed a relatively complete industrial chain based on the previous policy support.

The dismantling process of scrapped automobiles is mainly divided into two steps: step-by-step dismantling and broken car. When the main purpose of component recycling and remanufacturing is to use, step-by-step dismantling is used; when the main purpose of recycling of waste materials is to use, the entire vehicle is broken. Cars scrapped in accordance with national standards and standards, a large number of parts of the recycling and remanufacturing value is high, China's automobile dismantling plant mainly adopts step-by-step dismantling process.

After dismantling scrapped automobiles, a large amount of renewable resources can be obtained, including steel (five major assemblies), non-ferrous metals (lead, copper, aluminum, tin), precious metals (platinum), glass, engineering plastics, and leather, all of which are renewable materials; Accessories (generators, motors, light glass, doors and windows), electronic accessories (sensors, ECUs, actuators), standard parts (window glass, fasteners, connectors, etc.) are all renewable parts.

Dismantled products can be sold not only as waste materials, but also when they meet certain conditions, so that they can be remanufactured to increase the value of their use. Five major assemblies, parts, automotive electronics, etc. can be remanufactured. For example, every time you build a Steyr engine, you only need to produce 20% of the new machine energy, save 1600 degrees, and reduce carbon emissions by 13-17 kilograms.

In 2012, the recycling of scrapped motor vehicles in China was 1,147,800 and the sales amount was 7.852 billion yuan. Among them, the recycling of scrapped automobiles was 604,400, accounting for only 30% of the theoretical scrap. The recovery of motor vehicles increased by 0.5% year-on-year, and the growth rate decreased significantly. This was mainly due to the suspension of the old-for-new vehicle replacement policy at the end of 2012. In addition, the total sales of the industry decreased by 5.3% year-on-year, which was mainly due to the decline in scrap steel prices. As formal recycling channels are cumbersome and the recycling price is low, a large number of scrapped cars flow into the secondary market and informal recycling companies.

In addition, as of the end of 2012, there were 522 enterprises for the recovery and dismantling of end-of-life automobiles, with total assets of 10.265 billion yuan.

In 2012, the recycling rate of China's end-of-life vehicles was only 30%, which was far lower than that of the United States, Germany, and Japan. Take the United States as an example. The annual scrap of automobiles is over 14 million, and the recycling volume is over 12 million. The recovery rate is about 83%. In February 2006, the "Recycling and Utilization Technology Policy for Automobile Products" issued jointly by the National Development and Reform Commission, the Ministry of Science and Technology, and the Ministry of Environmental Protection planned the recycling process of end-of-life vehicles.

The "Administrative Measures for the Retirement of Scrapped Vehicles" implemented in June 2001 stipulates that the "five major assemblies" disassembled by end-of-life vehicle recycling companies may not be remanufactured, and other parts may be remanufactured. In March 2008, the National Development and Reform Commission issued the “Administrative Measures on the Remanufacturing of Auto Parts and Remanufacturing Pilots” to allow 14 pilot remanufacturing companies to remanufacture engines, transmissions, generators, steering gears, and starters.

The utilization rate of remanufactured auto parts for developed countries reaches about 35%, while the remanufactured utilization rate of available parts and components for dismantling in China is very low, basically scrap metal is sold, and the “used parts” sales of automobile dismantling companies in 2012 Income only accounts for 5% of total revenue.

In general, the value created by the remanufacturing of auto parts is more than eight times the value of scrap metal. The Regulation on the Management of Recycling and Dismantling of Motor Vehicles (Draft for Soliciting Opinions) issued by the State Council in July 2010 allows the remanufacturing of the “five general assemblies”. If this policy can be implemented, the remanufacturing rate will increase dramatically after the remanufacturing rate is increased. Solve the market's capacity. Assuming a remanufacturing rate of 20% and a component value of 6 times the non-metallic value, the sales revenue contributed by the components will reach 25.2 billion yuan, and the total market capacity will reach 42 billion yuan.

In 2013, the sales volume of cars in China was 21.98 million, which was more than 10 times of 2.09 million in 2000. Assuming conservatively, China's future automobile sales will remain at 20 million units, annual waste will be at 20 million units, and the dismantling market will also increase 10 times to reach 420 billion yuan.

In addition, in 2012, there were 3 companies with more than 10,000 scrapped vehicles, less than 20 companies with more than 5,000 vehicles, less than 70% with less than 1,000 vehicles, and less than 30% with less than 500 vehicles.

The "Regulations on the Recycling and Dismantling of Endangered Motor Vehicles (Draft for Soliciting Opinions)" has been brewing for nearly four years. With the arrival of the "peak period" of car scrapping, the "Regulations" are ready to come. As the “five general assemblies” are allowed to be remanufactured, the recycling rate of end-of-life vehicles will undoubtedly be improved. At the same time, the supervision and management framework has been improved, the responsibilities of the government, public security, industry and commerce and environmental protection departments have been divided, and the legal responsibilities of violators have been clarified. It will help promote the flow of scrapped cars to formal recycling companies.

Governments at all levels are actively promoting the intensive development of the automotive dismantling industry. Since 2009, the Ministry of Commerce and the Ministry of Finance have taken the lead in launching demonstration projects for end-of-life vehicles recycling and dismantling enterprises demonstration projects. Some local governments give pilot companies 5 million yuan and do not exceed 50% of the registered capital. As of the end of 2012, about 40% of the recycling and dismantling enterprises have completed or are undergoing technological reforms focused on the clean environment, safe production, resource conservation, technological advancement, and modernization management. At the same time, the government encourages some companies with financial and technological strengths to adopt mergers, holdings, equity participation, equipment investment, etc., and optimize and restructure existing recycling and dismantling enterprises, strengthen cooperation, and inject new vigor into the development of the industry. In order to promote enterprises to become bigger and stronger and solve the problems of small and scattered enterprises, low efficiency, and disorderly competition, many scrapped automobile recycling and dismantling enterprises in Tianjin, Chengdu and other regions have been integrated through government guidance and market operations, and economies of scale have gradually emerged. .

The remediation of the “Yellow Label” is expected to become a catalyst for the rapid development of the automotive dismantling industry in the short term. As of the end of 2012, the number of “yellow-marked vehicles” nationwide was 14.514 million, accounting for 13.4% of the total vehicle ownership. The top five provinces are Guangdong, Shandong, Hebei, Henan and Jiangsu, and the holdings are 1.687 million, 1.113 million, 1.01 million, 97.5 million, and 787,000 vehicles respectively.

In September 2013, the State Council issued the “Action Plan for Prevention and Control of Atmospheric Pollution”, which includes the policies and targets for the regulation of “yellow-marked vehicles”. In general, all regions will increase the elimination of yellow-label vehicles from 2014 and eliminate all yellow-label vehicles by 2017. . Most provinces and cities give different levels of subsidy for the early phase-out of yellow-standard vehicles and promote the flow of yellow-standard vehicles into regular dismantling channels.

According to the “Yellow Label Vehicle” rectification policies of all provinces and cities, an average of 3.625 million vehicles will be eliminated each year from 2014 to 2017. If 50% of the flow goes to a regular dismantling plant, that is, 1.8 million vehicles are dismantled, then the market space for car dismantling brought by the "yellow label car" will be three times the current market size.

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